I'm naive when it comes to polling, but wouldn't the fact that Trump doesn't have any real competition factor into polling? He's not really running against anyone right now. He's currently going up against the entire Democratic party, who doesn't have a real leader right now where everyone can rally behind. Sure Pelosi is technically our leader currently, but she's more of a legislation leader within DC, not the face of the party.

And the person running against Trump isn't known yet as we still have to get through 20ish candidates first. It's kind of hard to compare Harris vs Trump or Bernie vs Trump when we don't even know who's gonna win yet.