The initial models were terrible because they were based off bad data. Data from China which is inaccurate IMO and from Italy which was in a different situation.

You could argue now that models based off data from NY and Washington State are going to be more accurate and should produce better results in the next week given actual data. But even then, death data is not consistent in NY or MA so its hard to say how accurate they could ever be.

Having said all that, there is still a sizable and vocal amount of people that believe the government, both Federal and Local, are not doing enough right now AND did not do enough at the onset of the pandemic. Also, I would argue, having been seriously effected by the current state of the economy, better safe than sorry.

In the end pundits will use the end results to their advantage. If you are right and the response ends up being overblown and killing the economy both locally and across the country, then this sub and others will be blaming those in charge. On the other hand, if it gets much worse, they will blame them for exactly the opposite.

Again, as politicians you cant win either way, but as I said... better safe than sorry.