Hahaha, honestly you could quite literally be the stupidest person I've ever spoken to. Did you read what I said?
Not getting a yellow doesn't net you any points, same with not getting a red, you don't get points for those things, you lose them. The only way for Bruno to get points this week is by either scoring a goal, getting an assist, or keeping a CS.
Odds of scoring a goal: 27%. i.e. significantly more likely that it doesn't happen.
Odds of getting an assist: I don't have this one directly, Bruno had the highest goalscoring chance of any United player. City's CS odds were 49.5%. Let's say generously that you give Bruno a 50% chance of getting an assist on any goal scored. Based on that shitty calculation his chance of an assist is less than 25%.
United's CS odds this week were a whopping 14.5%. So an 85.5% chance that he doesn't get the cleansheet point.
As I've said but you don't seem to be able to understand, points in this game are not given in percentage based increments. Events either happen or they don't. The chance of either of the two events that would have given Bruno points were both 1 in 4. The chance of the one of those three events that would have lost him a point was 4 in 5.
Forget yellow and red cards because there's no clearly available chance for those, but they only reduce his expected points anyway, so it's in your interest to ignore them.
What you are talking about is the "expected points", based on the above odds, literally treated as if the game could be played in some simulation 1000 times. That's not how reality works lol. That's just how betting companies make a profit. In this game, you have to make a decision based on the chance of each event occuring, and for each of those the outcome is that it was significantly more likely that he scored 2 points than more than 2 points.
The fact that you can't get your head around this, but still think you have some authority on, it is what concerns me lol. I'm not concerned for society, because everyone else gets it, I'm concerned for you personally...
Still curious about your rank, since you've dodged that a few times. Makes me think you're "approach" to this hasn't really worked for you so far.