Wow, that shift in Robeson County was really interesting when I dug into it a little bit.
White: 21,501
Black: 20,565
American Indian: 26,773
In 2012 Obama carried the county About 58% to 41%. In 2020, Trump carried the state about 59% to Biden's 40%. So it completely flipped on its head.
It seemed like all it took was for Trump to hold a single rally in the county with the Local Lumbee Tribe and promise to support federal legislation recognizing them. Crazily enough Biden actually came out 2 weeks earlier supporting that same legislation. Guess in this case it really shows how people pay way more attention when you actually show up in their area and have a rally.
It's also a majority Democratic county by a huge amount. However, the number of registered democrats have been collapsing since at least 2012. From about 54,000 to 42,000. Registered Republicans have gone up but only from about 9k to 11k.
Turnout was up, from 55% in 2012 to about 61% in 2020. However it's still way below the state's total turnout in 2020 of 75%. Also only about 3/4 of the county's adults are registered. I don't know if that is high or low for most other counties.
As far as counties go, it's a fairly sizeable one. For Democrats, flipping it back to 2008 and 2012 levels would go a long way toward flipping North Carolina.