Discussion Thread: 2020 General Election Part 32 | Results Continue

I strongly believe this election is going to come out being 270 to 265 in Biden's favor.

Georgia looks like it'll go to Trump by 5-10k votes. Looking at the "lost ballot" maps that have been put out regarding DeJoy's "magical disappearing ballots," it looks like Georgia is missing about 10k.

Alaska is definitely red and North Carolina will almost certainly be.

Pennsylvania is still uncertain, but Trump still has enough of a lead there that I don't feel good about it. Adams, Butler, Cumberland, and York Counties are all around 75%, meaning they have another 300k votes between them, and are leaning Trump by a 2:1 margin. Erie County has another 50k or so votes to go and is leaning Trump by 4 points.

Philly County is sitting at about 75%, as well, and looks to have about 400k votes left to count. They may be going to Biden by a 4:1 margin, and mail-in votes may be favoring Biden in general, but it's going to be difficult to overcome the lead Trump currently has there. I strongly suspect PA will go to Trump by just a few thousand votes.

Arizona will be difficult for Biden to lose since the number of votes remaining to be counted in Washoe and Clark are more than the total votes in the rest of the State, and they're both leaning towards Biden by 4 and 8 points, respectively.

Since Biden only needs AZ to win, I'm comfortable saying Biden is the next President, but the fact that it's looking like it'll be 270 to 265 is disgusting.

/r/politics Thread