Does anyone else believe Chris Godwin and Mike Evans will have a worse fantasy season this year?

Man, y'all suck at Fantasy Football. No wonder I win so many leagues:

  • Jameis Winston under Arians in 2019: 626 attempts / 5109 yards / 33 TDs

  • Best year under Koetter (2016): 567 attempts / 4090 yards / 28 TDs

That's a 15% boost for Jameis under Arians over Koetter. Let's see if that translates to Godwin and Evans:

  • Evans 2019: 118 targets / 1157 yards / 8 TDs
  • Evans 2018: 138 targets / 1524 yards / 8 TDs
  • Godwin 2019: 121 targets / 1333 yards / 9 TDs
  • Godwin 2018: 95 targets / 842 yards / 7 TDs
  • Combined 2019: 239 targets / 2490 yards / 17 TDs
  • Combined 2018: 233 targets / 2366 yards / 15 TDs

Doesn't look like a fifteen percent boost for the receivers, but both Evans and Godwin ended the season injured. Not to mention Godwin only started 5 games in 2018.

  • Combined snap counts 2019: 1729
  • Combines snap counts 2018: 1656

2019's modest increase in production could be accounted for by the slight increase in snaps. However, had the receiving duo both finished the year, they would have shown that 15 percent Arians bump.

Now, add in Tom Brady. Brady is arguably the most accomplished quarterback in history. However, he's only played in one system his entire career. He could play anywhere, but he chose to play under "no risk it, no biscuit" Bruce Arians with two of the greatest young receivers in the league. Now, why would he do that? So he could fall flat on his face, just check down to a RB every pass, play conservative ball control offense, and prove the only reason he ever amounted to anything was because he played for BB in New England? Or is he gonna light the muthflucking scoreboard up like Joe Exotic does his backyard swamp?

If Godwin and Evans can blow it up with Fitzpatrick and Winston, they sure as shit can with Tom Brady. If they both stay healthy, they will both finish top 10. No doubt about it.

/r/fantasyfootball Thread