CSGL is being disbanded
http://www.hltv.org/news/17741-csgl-to-release-roster
This may result in some friction between the players and them underperforming. For this sole purpose, I don't trust myself to go on CSGL, but I'll go onto my analysis.
Analysis
CSGL:
Lounge Gaming have been in alright form. They managed to upset SK 2 days ago in a close 2-1 and looked quite good managing to hit their shots. They also managed to smash FlipSid3, 16-4 and 16-2, including Overpass, one of their best maps. They did however lose to HR who are on an incredible streak and probably will qualify for ESL Cologne. They also managed to get back-to-back BO3 wins over Godsent, but they've been lacklustre online since DH Malmo, losing to Gambit as well.
Gambit:
Gambit's form has been quite good, but they haven't played in quite a bit, last playing on the 27th of April against Godsent, who they managed to beat 2-0 on including maps like Train, one of Godsent's strongest maps. Like CSGL they lost to HR, but also managed to lose against Escape, the up and coming EU team in the Tier 2 scene. Before then they managed to scrape wins against AGG and Penta, teams known for being very inconsistent.
Overall, CSGL is in much better form, and if I was making this prediction solely on form, I'd give the odds to CSGL at 65:35.
However, due to the recently announced disbanding of CSGL, the affect it make on the players might be either negative or positive. For this reason, I'm dropping the odds from 65:35 to 55:45.
Gambit are a solid team and capable of upsets.
My Bet: LOW/ICB ON GAMBIT
Odds: 55-45 CSGL/LOUNGE GAMING
Check out my spreadsheet for other bets and betting history! :)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1geATlGP2ayOXR131zjg0KoyGxpAF0ykNQKpiIfh02fA/edit#gid=0