This comment was posted to reddit on Jul 20, 2017 at 8:28 pm and was deleted within 13 hour(s) and 11 minutes.
Greens collapse ‘in most states’
I think the Green's will be saved by the fact that only 5 of their senate seats are due to go up for election at the next election, because of the half quotas.
The senators up themselves are:
Hanson-Young in SA (The Greens will get at least 1 quota statewide in SA)
McKim in Tasmania (Safe)
Lee Rhiannon (Controversial, and was elected 9th in NSW in 2016, when only half a quota was required, I can see her losing her seat along with Leyonhjlem and the One Nation senator, who are also up)
Janet Rice in Victoria (The Green's have a large enough base in Victoria that they should get a quota, although without Di Natale on the ticket it could go ugly, but Natale only got 40k first preferences last time, so the Green's should still scrape thorough.)
Siewert in WA (Now this one is interesting, because there is talk that if the #3 green takes his seat, which I think he said he will - that some people wanted him to take the half term over Siewert, who would have been elected 3rd without Ludlum. The Green's did get more than a quota even without Ludlum's 1st prefs, so who knows, I'd still tip the Green's here with only one seat to defend, they have enough of a base and a history in WA to scrape through)