He exposed COVID-19 early in Wuhan China then got admonished by CN and killed by it. Li Wenliang

Uh. Okay.

So viruses don't spread just by you coming into contact, the amount, and method of exposure is very important.

People suddenly leaving after brief contact doesn't make a pandemic, it's people coming into enough contact to contract the virus as an illness, and symptoms of the illness act as a farther vector of spread.

Example: someone who has contracted COVID-19 who doesn't develope a cough, won't transmit it to as significant of a degree as who has.

When you have a large group of people who are sick, and showing severe symptoms, they become the primary spreaders of the disease.

People fleeing isn't the issue, it's the total lack of action where the virus spreads from a primary source to a secondary (a person who is contagious, but does not currently have the symptoms that turn them into a primary spreader) who then infects a third party.

Third-hand contact would need to either be in a compromised individual, or in a significant enough degree where they then become a secondary or primary spreader after an incubation period.

Each deviation you get away from someone, the less likely you'll catch it. If you've ever heard of the game "degrees from Kevin Bacon" the same can be said about COVID-19, and at about 5 deviations, so primary > secondary > third person > fourth person > you; you're pretty much garunteed numbers wise to have come into a fifth degree contact, there's almost zero exposure.

This is why period schemes where you recruit four others fall apart too around the 5th deviation. This is also known as Pareto Principle.


Or basically what I'm trying to explain, very poorly, is that it's okay to have people flee, even if they come into contact in that 3rd-5h degree, but if you take no action to container the spread, you can't figure out at what part of the chain the general population is falling in

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