Anyone else think Morrison planted the seed amongst the conservatives that they could contest leadership to begin with? Then convinced Turnbull he had support to defend the 1st spill so he went ahead with it, after so he sat back during the unfolding of events; denoucing of Turnbull's ability to lead by other MPs and ofcourse the second spill.

Based on the way the voting for leader inside the party worked he knew Bishop would get knocked out first round as he would take a greater percentage of the moderate votes, and in the second he would simply win due to there being more moderates than conservatives and the party clearly acknowledging Morrison would do better at the election then Dutton.

TL;DR Morrison leveraged the key interests driving Turnbull, Bishop, Dutton, Abbott and others to secure himself leadership whilst making it look like a complete accident.