How worried should Vision be?

Medium worried. Several factors at play here:

  • Election is a year away. That's a year to bribe people and try to save face.

  • NPA is equally corporatist and not for the average Vancouverite. However, most Vancouverites don't know this, or don't care.

  • OneCity has some real momentum and just got their first candidate in. They have all but completely replaced COPE as the progressive party in Vancouver. They put forward a good candidates, but their organization skills still leave a lot to be desired. I asked to volunteer, asked for signs, offered free time and labour, and they didn't even have the organization to allow me to work for them for free

  • Vision is incumbent and can use their work as an advertisement.

  • People are afraid of change. People are also afraid of the increasingly problematic status quo.

I think that Vision should take this byelection as a clear omen that their days are numbered if they keep dancing the same dance, but I don't think we can write them off quite yet.

/r/vancouver Thread