Leafs Lucky Guess - Game #30 at Boston

Over. Nylander gets no points. Kap gets more ice time.

I know this sounds anti-Nylander and I want to be wrong about the middle two. But let's face reality.

  1. In Bruins games this year, there have been an average 5.1 goals/game. Leafs games 6.3. Average is well below 6.5. Last game vs Bruins there were 6 goals. And McAvoy is back. But he has played one less game than Nylander this week. And They are still missing Bergeron, Chara, Miller. Leafs have something to prove after last game. And the whole squad is together. So I expect some lamp lighting.
  2. Stasticially he's less likely to score a goal than not score a goal based on career stats.
  3. Nylander got 0.5 assists per game last year. So it's a coin toss. But I don't think he has enough games played and time with the team to be in peak form by Saturday. But you know his linemates will do everything to get him a point. This is the one that I'm questioning the most.
  4. Nylander's career average TOI is 16.21. Kapanen's average TOI is 16:20 this season. So again toss up. But based on last game's ice time, I think we see more ice time for Kap. This might change if the Leafs get an early lead or lots of PP, but I'm not holding my breath for that.
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