Less and less men are willing to marry. In the future, when this phenomenon reaches its apex, how do you think it will have changed society?

The practical matter is, for even those who are 35 or older, they will not marry, compared to previous generations. That's the important point:


Declining marriage rates suggest a growing fraction of millennials will remain unmarried through age 40. In this brief, we use data from the American Community Survey to estimate age-specific marriage rates and project the percentage of millennials who will marry by age 40 in different scenarios. We find that the percentage of millennials marrying by age 40 will fall lower than for any previous generation of Americans, even in a scenario where marriage rates recover considerably. Moreover, marriage patterns will continue to diverge by education and race, increasing the divides between mostly married “haves” and increasingly single “have-nots”.

Most Americans eventually marry, but the percentage that do not has slowly increased across generations. In 1990, 91 percent of US-born women age 40 (early baby boomers) had married. This value decreased to 87 percent in 2000 (late baby boomers) and 82 percent in 2010 (generation X). For the millennial generation, there is concern that declines in marriage might be even sharper, because the economic shock of the recession put marriage on hold for many young adults and marriage rates are returning only slowly (if at all) to pre-recession levels.

This brief is part of an Urban Institute study of the millennial generation—its diversity, demographics, and implications for policy. In this brief, we examine recent age-specific first marriage rates for American men and women, then use standard demographic techniques to project how many will marry by age 40 in two plausible scenarios. If marriage rates remain at recession or postrecession levels, the number of millennials who marry by age 40 could decrease as much as 12 percentage points below the level among 40-year-olds today. In an alternative scenario, even if marriage rates bounce back substantially, the percentage of millennials marrying by age 40 will still decrease below the level for any previous generation of Americans. Furthermore, under both scenarios there will be a continuing divergence in marriage patterns by education and race, increasing the social and economic divides between the still mostly married “haves” and the increasingly single “have-nots”.


If older men want to get married, they'll be targeting younger women, or none at all. Nobody wants a 30'something year old post wall woman.

/r/PurplePillDebate Thread Parent