Clippers have had two impressive road wins in their last 3 against the heat and the spurs. Gallo is out but other than him this clippers team is healthy and it has allot of depth. 4.5 isn't allot to ask the clippers to cover. A few games ago heat were -5 favourites against this bulls team on the road and they ended up winning by nearly 20. Also last game bulls were favoured at home against the hawks and lost by 20. I think the bulls are being overrated recently considering how bad they have been. My main concern is that they are due to have a good game soon you would think. Here are some recent stats/trends:
Clippers cover 65.4% of their games when they are the favorites
Clippers cover 57% of non-conference games vs Bulls 42%
Clippers have won last 5 against the bulls all by a margin of 6 or more
Yes harden has been brilliant but the rockets have been far from convincing of late. They lost at home to the nets and were very close to losing to both the lakers and the knicks. They also have lost to the magic and have gotten blown out against the sixers in their last 6 games. The raps are not great on the road but kawhi is back and well rested for this game. Toronto are well equipped to defend houston as well with kawhi, green, siakim all very good defenders. The raptors are an inconsistent team at times but if they play well this game should be a blowout.
I also am tempted to take the over in the heat game but I dont have a write up on that one