Netanyahu: If I'm elected, there will be no Palestinian state

My point is the Israeli political system is very complicated and for decades "experts" have failed to properly predict Israeli election results. I know various outlets in and inside Israel are already claiming that he is going to lose, but if past ISRAELI elections are taken into account...these analysts are usually always wrong when it comes to Israel's election. Not one proclaimed that Lapid was going to get 19 seats or that Naftali Bennett would come out of nowhere to gain 12 seats. Not one "expect" proclaimed Bennett rise at the start 2012/13 election cycle.

Bibi and his team have access to inside Likud polling data and various coalition scenarios which neither you or I or the general public and the vast array of "experts" have access to. I'm sure the Likud has been conducting various backroom talks with their coalition partners for some time now. What if due to polling data, Likud understood that a statement like this would help gain votes for certain parties in his coalition. Maybe it would strengthen Kahlon's party and that is exactly what Bibi wants knowing that his popularity is waning. Maybe Bibi and Kahlon already have a deal worked out? I know, I know, Kahlon and Oren have been bashing Bibi in public. So this would be the first time in history people who bashed people were secretly in cahoots! Maybe he wants to strengthen Naftali Bennet's party. Maybe just Maybe he knows (based on polling data that you or the general public don't have access to, a statement like this will sure up bets for Yachad? If Yachad doens't pass the threshold Bibi's coalition looks even weaker. If Yachad doesn't get 4 seats. Make no mistake, I want Bibi to lose, however even with Channel's 2 latest polls before the election...He has a clearer path to forming a coalition. It was a blunder for him to call elections this early. He might not get the coalition he wants, but in Bibi's mind, maybe just maybe he will take a weaker coalition to fight another day. I know that probably sounds like a lot of mumbo-jumbo to you as your aren't familiar with the Israeli political system. That is why I included a link to brooking's recent discussion on the upcoming Israeli elections to help you better understand the nuances of the different parties and how people form coalitions: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqtJt_F75vw

Unless you have deep knowledge of Israeli election science(where the top analysts in the field, have failed to predict the last 5 elections) or you are a labor pollster, maybe just maybe you overstepped your position by proclaiming that this was an epic blunder that will extract a tremendous tolls on Israel's battered international standing? I mean that doesn't sound bias at all. Please tell me TLDR.

/r/worldnews Thread Parent Link - haaretz.com