"The Colts were already a big under pick against their season win line and their odds to win the Super Bowl. With Andrew Luck's shocking retirement, they are no longer contenders. Jacoby Brissett is a very good backup and the Colts' projected win total only dropped 2 wins, but their chances of winning the Super Bowl dropped by 95%. They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 0.4% chance is #21 in the league. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Colts are averaging 7.3 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 10 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the AFC. Their 10-6 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 8.5-7.5."