Sure that's why its not worth $1,000,000 bitcoin.

In fact I think you could almost guess by the ratio between current price and million dollar bitcoin - and if you believe in the hypothesis that bitcoin goes to a million or zero, no in-between - that within a short time limit, let's say 200 days a typical moving average, that you are looking at a 99% chance bitcoin goes to zero, and a 1% chance it goes to a million - in the next 200 days.

There's my BS "math" :) I just pulled it out of my butt. But you get the idea. All markets comparing current price to future prices and expectations are like this. You can do more technical analysis (TA), read "fundamentals" or just guess. But this is what at least a lot of the world is doing. I personally would say that the world has a huge blindspot - it does not understand the rise of a new asset class, particularly a new money. They are going to get blindsided very badly.