Tim Ryan election results, 2012 to 2020.

2012: Ryan wins by 45.6%

2014: Ryan wins by 37%

2016: Ryan wins by 35.4%

2018: Ryan wins by 22%

2020: Ryan wins by 7.6%.

So, you have two options. Either, the seat shifted by 39 points in 8 years, which you think is odd. Or, Ryan is a bad candidate who lost a lot of support over the years.

I don't think Ryan is a bad candidate, it's quite clear the former is what happened (even if you can't understand it).

But what this shows is that Ryan doesn't have a history of winning contested elections, he's never run in a place at all similar to the state of Ohio. He's our best chance, but there's a reason he's a heavy underdog in 2022. Like, extremely heavy.

Thanks for the analysis, but you clearly have some work to do to be able to present one worth reading.