3. [Polling Megathread] Week of September 18, 2016

[Polling Megathread] Week of September 18, 2016

This information (posted by someone else) seems to be being discussed in the comments below. I think it's only for this poll though, not any others:

Trump is not gaining at all.

http://i.imgur.com/eVJkyph.png

This is from the microdata of this poll. There are TWO male AAs between 18-21 with HS diplomas in the ENTIRE sample, but since one is for Trump he just so happens to be weighted EXTREMELY high in comparison to a normal weight. You will notice the times that the CI band goes through the roof on the AA tab are the times he has taken the poll if you examine the microdata.

http://i.imgur.com/m0TyzNJ.png

Anytime he has taken the poll you can see the spike. You can download the microdata yourself to confirm this. He is weighted extremely high so as soon as he takes the poll it causes these huge dips. In fact, this week he is weighted to 1.1% of the ENTIRE poll. One person out of 2500, which means he has the average weight of 25 other people taking the poll. The entire gain today was because of him. Without him, the poll would not have moved.

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