Jeff's really high on this season. Just at first glance of the cast, I'd put my money on Bret to be the winner. Strong police sergeant. He'll be seen as loyal, trustworthy. He's got muscle but won't be seen as a physical threat in the same way Chris or Justin would. At least I don't think so. Plus, I could see Jeff being really pleased with him winning.

If I had to rank who I thought from most likely to win to least likely, I'd say:

1. Bret
2. Rachel (All her public speaking on growing in life skills should come very much in handy.)
3. David (If he won, he'd be Cochran 2.0, which would make Probst very, very happy)
4. Justin (Will be Joe Anglim-styled eye candy for the casual population, no doubt)
5. Jessica F. (Looks like she has an amazing head on her shoulder for a 21-year-old. Free-spirited, super positive, loves life, funny. She seems extremely likeable.)
6. Kenneth (Looks like the second coming of L.J. Decent looking, always scanning his environment, always thinking). Without a crazy Tony, maybe Kenneth makes it further than L.J. was able to.)
7. Zeke (Seems like he'll have a good knack for strategy)
8. Adam (Adam could be the new Spencer. Jeff would be very pleased with someone like Adam win no doubt.)
9. Michaela (Very well self-made for such a young girl at 24. She runs a small business. Does sales. Sounds like a woman who has had a lot of practice at selling herself.)
10. Chris (Big, strong guy. The kind of guy Jeff Probst loves. No doubt, Jeff would be happy with this guy as the winner, but Chris seems way too aggressive and stubborn to actually make it to the end and win. He'll make it to the merge with an alliance that he will keep tight together. But if the opposing alliance gets a swing at taking out someone in his alliance, he'll probably be the one voted off. Similar to why Andrew Savage was first taken out of the major 9-person alliance in Cambodia.)
11. Ciandre (Superfan. Maybe she could play the game Tasha could never play. I see her being on the odds out in her tribe early on though based on the personalities on Takali.)
12. Hannah (Super funny and quirky. Could be the girl you underestimate until it's too late, kinda like Aubry, just with more of a sense of humor.)
13. Mari *(She reminds me a lot of Jun Song! Definitely has the potential to win the game. Not sure if anyone would recognize her. Hopefully she can rein in her competitive spirit. If she gets too into the scheming too visibly, then she could be taken out as a result. I could really see Mari being a post-tribe switch/swap casualty.
14. Michelle (LOVE her, but I don't think Jeff would be huge on this season, if a person essentially with the same name as S32's winner won S33)
15. Sunday (Definitely think she will go far, but hearing the words "The Winner of Survivor... Sunday" would definitely come as a surprise.)
16. Paul (This guy will probably be the funny older guy that Dan Foley tried to be but failed miserably at it. But I bet you Paul does it right. That being said, it would be the first of his archetype to win the game.)
17. Lucy (I think she has a really young kid at home. Might stop her from being fully present in the game.)
18. Jessica B. (Not sure why I have her this low. I just don't see her making the merge, although I have nothing objective to go on with her on why she'd leave pre-merge.)
19. William (Hard for anyone under 21 to gain enough votes from a jury)
20. Taylor (Doubt Jeff would be high on this season if the 'Fabio' archetype won this season of Survivor, basically being a repeat of Nicaragua.)