[Score Prediction Contest] Week 12 - Miami Dolphins (4-6) vs. New York Jets (5-5)

I crunched a bunch of numbers for this that took longer than it should have lol...

If you wanna see the nonsense I did to get this score here it is:

24 ppg for winner since 2010

17 ppg @NYJ for MIA since 2010

11 ppg vs. MIA for NYJ since 2010

23 ppg @ NYJ for MIA since 2012

8 ppg vs MIA for NYJ since 2012

17 ppg last 3 games for MIA

21 ppg last 3 games for NYJ

20 ppg in away games for MIA (2015)

25 ppg in home games for NYJ (2015)

23 ppg with Dan Campbell as HC for MIA (6 games)

25 ppg allowed with Dan Cambell as HC for MIA (6 games) (20 ppg allowed without 2nd half vs. Texans)

23 ppg with Todd Bowles as HC for NYJ (10 games)

21 ppg allowed with Todd Bowles as HC for NYJ (10 games)

Similar Opponents:

MIA: 3(Eagles, Redskins, Texans)-3(Bills, Jaguars, Patriots) NYJ: 2(Jaguars, Redskins)-4(Bills, Eagles, Patriots, Texans)

+ 1st match between teams

MIA: 3-4 NYJ: 3-4

Head to Head: NYJ (1-0) + 1 NYJ

Similar Opponents: MIA (3-3) + 1 MIA

@NYJ Victories (since 2012): MIA (3-0) + 1 MIA

ppg @NYJ (since 2012): MIA 23 - 8 NYJ + 1 MIA

ppg Dan Campbell / Todd Bowles: MIA 23 - 23 NYJ +/- TIE

ppg allowed Dan Campbell / Todd Bowles: MIA 25 - 21 NYJ + 1 NYJ /- vs. Texans 2nd Half = MIA 20 - 21 NYJ + 1

ppg last 3 games: MIA 17 - 21 NYJ + 1 NYJ

Away game ppg (MIA) vs Home game ppg (NYJ): MIA 20 - 25 NYJ + 1 NYJ

POINTS:

MIA- 5 NYJ- 5

QUINTON COPLES FACTOR: MIA + 0.5

Final Points:

MIA- 5.5 NYJ- 5

Equation: { (ppg @NYJ) + (ppg 2015 [Dan Campbell / Todd Bowles]) + (ppg last 3 games) + (ppg opponent allows [Dan Campbell / Todd Bowles )} / 4

MIA Points = (23 + 23 + 17 + 20) / 4 = 20.75 ~ 21

NYJ Points = (8 + 23 + 21 + 25) / 4 = 19.25 ~ 19

21 - 19 Dolphins

/r/miamidolphins Thread Parent