Looks to me like Australia's best practitioner of politics -- former SA premier Jay Weatherill -- will be organising Labor's campaign. His government were expert at winning with the state-wide numbers against them. The major objection to his government was that they were so good at the politics that some policy failures didn't have the consequences that they should have.

If there's going to be a Tampa, it's likely to be one which hits the government -- I mean how stupid was the proposal to move Australia's embassy to Israel?

Labor have already tried a few possibilities against Chris Pyne on ABC Local Radio to see what works. I expect they'll go heavy with government inaction on wages theft, on the banks, on affordable housing. Almost like a old-time Labor campaign by Neville Wran from the 1970s.

I think the Liberals will try a scare campaign on climate change, on housing taxation, and on funding of non-government schools. The problem there is that the Liberals have few good performers: Morrison lacks discipline, Frydenburg is just a mess (why pick a fight with Bob Carr, it's all downside even if you win), Cormann has lost all credibility in backing Dutton and losing, Abbott is just coasting.

This isn't to say that Labor is all roses. The owners of capital are ripping workers off blind; there needs to be huge state intervention to fix a oncoming disaster; the rundown in all sorts of social assets -- but particularly in government-owned housing -- is turning youth into a underclass because they get no start in life. Labor shouldn't even have to make its case. But in many regions -- such as Queensland outside Brisbane -- they are seen as part of the problem.