Soviet Siberia and the Canadian Arctic - Models for Space Colonization?

The classic scenarios and ambitious plans for colonizing other planets (domed cities on the Moon, orbiting space colonies, terraforming Mars, etc.) resemble the brute force central planning model of the old Soviet Union's attempt to turn Siberia into an industrial utopia:

Cities were an important feature of the plans for a Siberian industrial utopia. Cities were developed in Siberia in tandem with industries to provide a fixed reserve of labor for factories, mines, and oil and gas fields. In many respects, however, the cities were not really cities. Rather than being genuine social and economic entities, they were physical collection points, repositories, and supply centers—utilitarian in the extreme. They were built to suit the needs of industry and the state, rather than the needs of people. Indeed, primary responsibility for planning and constructing city infrastructure fell to the Soviet economic ministry in charge of the enterprise the city was designed to serve. Few responsibilities were assigned to the municipal governments.

Still the cities grew, in both number and size. By the 1970s the Soviet Union had urbanized its coldest regions to an extent far beyond that of any other country in the world. (See box on page 25.) At precisely the time when people in North America and western Europe were moving to warmer regions of their countries, the Soviets were moving in the opposite direction.

But like the centrally planned cities of Siberia, the planned space colonies really have no economic reason for existing:

But the Soviet economic slowdown of the late 1970s would put an end to such ambitions. By the 1980s the massive investments in Siberia and the Far East were offering extremely low returns. Many huge construction projects were left incomplete or postponed indefinitely. At first, the troubles were blamed on disproportional and incoherent planning, ineffective management, and poor coordination. But by the reformist era of the late 1980s under Mikhail Gorbachev, the problem was seen to be Siberia itself as well as the efforts to develop it. Criticism of the giant outlays in Siberia became commonplace. Regional analysts and planners in Siberia mounted a fierce rearguard action. They tried to justify continued high investment by pointing to the value of the commodities produced in Siberia on world markets and the state's dependence on Siberian natural resources and energy supplies. Still, by 1989 the industrialization of Siberia was beginning to seem a monumental mistake. The Siberian enterprise was, in any case, brought to a screeching halt by the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the beginning of Russia's macroeconomic reforms in the 1990s.

For more than 50 years, Soviet planners built Siberian towns, industrial enterprises, and power stations—although often not roads—where they should never have been built. Huge cities and industrial enterprises, widely spread and for the most part isolated, now dot the vast region. Not a single Siberian city can be considered economically self-sufficient. And pumping large subsidies into Siberia deprives the rest of Russia of the chance for economic growth.

A better model for space colonization would be the example of how Canada has developed its Arctic regions:

Canada offers an appropriate model. Canada's North is a resource base, but the bulk of the nation's people are located along the U.S. border, close to markets and in the warmest areas of the country. According to the 2002 Canadian Census, Canada's northern territories have less than 1 percent of the nation's total population. Canada's mining industry—and northern industry in general—relies on seasonal labor, with the labor pool shrinking during the coldest winter months and increasing again in summer.

While of course there are no seasons in space, the principle of allocated temporary labor and resources to areas only when and where needed - instead of massive cities in space that have no economic reason to exist appears to be the better approach.

The future of man in space would then resemble work on an arctic oil rig. Dangerous, dirty work with high injury and fatality rates. But highly profitable work the would earn "space roughnecks" huge bonus payments which they could spend as soon as they get back to Earth. And like oil rig roughnecks north of the arctic circle, space roughnecks would not be bringing their families. We'll work in space, but like the polar regions it makes no sense to colonize space.

And so I would suggest that the Canadian model for developing the Arctic makes far more sense then Soviet Siberian style, centrally planned cities under domes or rotating habitats in orbit.

/r/Futurology Thread Link - brookings.edu