Three-way World War III/Civil War 2 scenario for the near future (details in the comments)

Loosely based on existing alliances: EU and other strong US allies for the liberals, Collective Security Treaty Organization and other strong Chinese/Russian allies for the Chinese/Russians, and Persian Gulf monarchies for many of the fascist sympathizers.

The lore is that the Ukraine war causes tensions between the EU and the Russians, and a looming invasion of Taiwan causes tensions between the USA and its Asian allies, bringing the liberals and Chinese/Russian bloc into conflict.

Things are complicated, however, when a resurgent Donald Trump takes over the United States with the help of Republican state legislatures around 2024 after Moore v. Harper effectively legalizes the use of faithless electors en masse. Seeking legitimacy in the face of horrified American allies in the liberal bloc, Trump forges an alliance with other nationalist strongmen in Brazil (where Bolsanaro attempts to suppress his own rivals), Saudi Arabia, Israel, and India. States with Democratic state legislatures resist the blatant power grab, bringing the fascists into conflict with the liberal bloc.

The war is already hot where the Chinese/Russian bloc is close to completely occupying liberal-backed Ukraine and where the Saudis face resistance from the Chinese/Russian-supported Houthis, but as the American states prepare for a second civil war it's anyone's guess as to which blocs will ally to defeat the remaining alliance.

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