I’m 50/50 on it, it’s one of those ones where I can’t guess and there’s not enough proof either way for me to have an opinion. However everyone saying “little kids her age don’t run away” which just isn’t true. A few years ago my nephew (7) decided to run away with his younger sisters (5 & 3) in a midwest freezing cold winter in the middle of the night before it started snowing. They made it a solid distance away before someone else found them and called the police. They said they were going to grandma’s house. Sometimes kids do incredibly questionable things

One of those kids is now 10 and made another runaway attempt a few months back and they found her at the park. If I had an opinion it’s that there’s really no way to know unless they find out anything else