Maybe Yale people who are accepted don’t want to post until the end of the cycle?

I think this explains a lot of it, not just for Yale, but for all schools. I know anecdotally a lot of folks wait to post all their results at once at the very end of their cycle.

I’m trying not to get my hopes up that this is a real trend and they haven’t accepted as much of their class yet this year as they had at the same point last year.

We have another data point to work with that suggests they're on-pace. They have an official Slack channel that they tell all their accepted students to join, which as of last night is sitting at 232 members.