Daily Picks Thread - Saturday 7.3.15

Betting Calculation Project
- Latest H2H Fixture (+1 for win, 0 for draw, -1 for loss)
- Points difference pr 5 games (Point difference/games played x 5)
- Points difference home and away pr 5 games (Point difference home-away/games played home-away x 5)
- Point difference last 5 games
- Point difference last 5 home-away games
Turning this into a percentage: (Calculated score + 61)/122 x 100...

This project is divided into 2 systems so far...


Today's Over 2.00 Favorite:
The rules for this are:
- Teams must be calculated favorite by 66% or more
- Odds must be 2.00 or above

Servette - Winterthur @ 2.15 (69% favorites)
Workington - Barwell @ 2.00 (67% favorites)
RW Erfurt - Wehen SV @ 2.05 (67% favorites)
Hednesford - Boston @ 2.10 (66% favorites)
Bastia - Nice @ 2.30 (65% favorites)
*This pick is just a little bit below the criteria, but I've watched a lot of Bastia highlights and they are really good in their home games, so I included this pick

Result so far:
17W's and 22L's.. (Average odds: 2.265)


Today's Home Favorite Double:
The rules for this are:
- Both teams must be at home and both be calculated favorites by 70% or more..
- The Double has to be odds 2.00 or above..

FC United - Kings Lynn (78% favorites)
Viktoria Plzen - Slavia Prag (73% favorites)
@ 2.00

Eupen - White Star (76% favorites)
Preussen Munster - Jahn Regensburg (72% favorites)
@ 2.09

Billericay - Bury (72% favorites)
Borca - Macva Sabac (71% favorites)
@ 2.20

Cukaricki - Borac (70% favorites)
Truro - Biggleswade (70% favorites)
@ 2.20

Kortrijk - Cercle Brugge (70% favorites)
Holstein Kiel - Osnabruck (72% favorites)
@ 2.52

Result so far:
12W's and 8L's.. Average odds: 2.00<


Other Picks For Friday:

SC Farense - Olhanense - Result 1-0 @ 6.00
This type of bet kind of worked out for me yesterday, so I'm trying it again today.. Low scoring league, big home advantage league and a 70% calculated home favorite.. 1-0 seems the most likely result..

Preussen Munster (-1AH) - Jahn Regensburg @ 2.00
System-Test #4: Result so far 2W's-1Push-2L's..


/r/SoccerBetting Thread