NHL B-T Power Rankings - February 8, 2016

The All-Star Break is over and gone and we played some real hockey this week! Not to pile on, but Montréal's rating has dropped for eleven weeks straight. That's just nuts.


Team Rating RRWP SoS SoS Rk
WSH 255.63 0.7218 96.72 26
CHI 168.45 0.6289 97.27 24
DAL 156.35 0.6111 94.76 27
LAK 143.97 0.5911 92.88 30
TBL 140.01 0.5842 102.04 11
FLA 132.39 0.5704 105.00 3
NYR 119.72 0.5453 98.72 18
STL 116.49 0.5385 97.08 25
NYI 111.99 0.5286 99.55 17
PIT 110.54 0.5253 98.26 20
NJD 109.00 0.5218 97.32 23
SJS 108.74 0.5212 100.54 15
DET 107.71 0.5188 99.73 16
ANA 97.70 0.4941 97.70 21
BOS 97.45 0.4935 93.78 28
COL 97.23 0.4929 104.57 4
PHI 96.38 0.4907 104.25 5
CAR 88.45 0.4691 102.60 10
WPG 86.63 0.4638 101.07 12
MIN 86.33 0.4630 100.72 14
CGY 86.24 0.4627 100.92 13
OTT 85.37 0.4602 103.16 6
NSH 84.50 0.4576 98.30 19
MTL 81.02 0.4470 97.55 22
ARI 80.23 0.4446 93.60 29
BUF 78.67 0.4397 106.64 1
CBJ 62.91 0.3849 102.80 8
VAN 61.82 0.3807 103.03 7
TOR 61.03 0.3776 102.79 9
EDM 59.39 0.3711 105.08 2

Rating - The value R for which the sum of GP*Ra/(Ra+Rb) for all teams B equals the number of wins a team has. Here's a post I made explaining this more in depth. An “average” team has a rating of 100.

RRWP - Round Robin Winning Percentage - The expected winning percentage of a team if it played every other team once.

SoS - Strength of Schedule - The value S such that a team's winning percentage is equal to R/(R+S).

The code that makes these numbers!


Please:

Before complaining about where your team is ranked, remember first that SHOOTOUTS ARE TIES and that your team’s rating is affected by what everyone else does as well, not just your team. If your team has the same record (i.e., W%) as another team, but that team is ranked higher, they’ve played a harder schedule than you have. If you've checked all that and the rankings still don't make sense to you, I would love to try to explain as best I can. It is entirely possible that I could have screwed up somewhere.


The following only considers inter-division games:

Divsion Rating RRWP SoS
Central 112.44 0.5389 96.07
Metro 109.52 0.5302 96.51
Atlantic 93.06 0.4761 103.08
Pacific 87.25 0.4548 104.86

If the playoffs started today (and were determined by these ratings):

Central Pacific Atlantic Metro
CHI LAK TBL WSH
DAL SJS FLA NYR
STL ANA DET NYI
WPG COL PIT NJD

In: WPG, ANA
Out: MIN, ARI

Remember, wild card teams can play in the “wrong” division. The top division winner in a conference plays the second wild card, regardless of which division the wild card team belongs to. This occurs even when there is one wild card from each division.

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