3. Predictive Modeling and Concentration of the Risk of Suicide: Study May Help Ide...

Predictive Modeling and Concentration of the Risk of Suicide: Study May Help Identify Veterans with High Risk of Suicide

Here is the study:

Predictive Modeling and Concentration of the Risk of Suicide: Implications for Preventive Interventions in the US Department of Veterans Affairs

by John F. McCarthy, PhD, Robert M. Bossarte, PhD, Ira R. Katz, MD, PhD, Caitlin Thompson, PhD, Janet Kemp, PhD, Claire M. Hannemann, MPH, Christopher Nielson, MD, and Michael Schoenbaum, PhD

Abstract

Objectives. The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) evaluated the use of predictive modeling to identify patients at risk for suicide and to supplement ongoing care with risk-stratified interventions.

Methods. Suicide data came from the National Death Index. Predictors were measures from VHA clinical records incorporating patient-months from October 1, 2008, to September 30, 2011, for all suicide decedents and 1% of living patients, divided randomly into development and validation samples. We used data on all patients alive on September 30, 2010, to evaluate predictions of suicide risk over 1 year.

Results. Modeling demonstrated that suicide rates were 82 and 60 times greater than the rate in the overall sample in the highest 0.01% stratum for calculated risk for the development and validation samples, respectively; 39 and 30 times greater in the highest 0.10%; 14 and 12 times greater in the highest 1.00%; and 6.3 and 5.7 times greater in the highest 5.00%.

Conclusions. Predictive modeling can identify high-risk patients who were not identified on clinical grounds. VHA is developing modeling to enhance clinical care and to guide the delivery of preventive interventions. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print June 11, 2015: e1–e8. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2015.302737)

/r/science Thread Link - psypost.org
Previous
Next

Recently removed from /r/science

As a four-day work week is trialed in countries across the globe, health researchers say they’re ‘all in’ when it comes to a long weekend, research shows that the extra time off is good for our health. Findings from a study of more than 46,000 people from 68 different countries reveal those who share more left-wing political views are more generous and altruistic than those who follow right-wing ideologies. Obesity might adversely affect social and emotional development of children, study finds Decline in daily step count persists after pandemic for U.S. adults. Based on new findings, people had not yet bounced back as of December 2021: U.S. adults were still taking around 700 fewer steps per day, compared to their pre-pandemic norm. Review of 1,039 studies indicates exercise can be more effective than counselling or medication for depression Researchers are calling for exercise to be a mainstay approach for managing depression as a new study shows that physical activity is 1.5 times more effective than counselling or the leading medications One theory of attractiveness suggests beautiful people are seen positively and these views become internalized, motivating altruistic behavior. New research, however, finds support for the view that beautiful people behave selfishly and feel entitled due to their bargaining power in relationships. Extremely rich people are not extremely smart. Study in Sweden finds income is related to intelligence up to about the 90th percentile in income. Above that level, differences in income are not related to cognitive ability. ACPeds Calls on Organizations to Scrap Current Transgender Protocols Based on Newly Published Critique Most Americans aren’t getting enough exercise. People living in rural areas were even less likely to get enough exercise: Only 16% of people outside cities met benchmarks for aerobic and muscle-strengthening activities, compared with 28% in large metropolitan cities areas. Magnetic solution removes toxic "forever chemicals" from water in seconds Neighborhoods with predominantly White residents have more greenery, fewer dilapidated buildings and fewer multi-family homes — compared to neighborhoods with residents of multiple races and ethnicities, predominantly Black residents Routine vaccinations drop among U.S. kindergartners for the third year in a row according to the CDC. While vaccinations remain high, coverage has dropped from 95% in the 2019-2020 school year to 94% in 2020-2021 to 93% in 2021-2022, leaving at least 250,000 potentially unprotected against measles. Clitoral knowledge and gendered sexual scripts appear to play a key role in women's orgasm experience Clitoral knowledge and gendered sexual scripts appear to play a key role in women's orgasm experience

More Random Comments

Why does denver get the number 1 seed? Eileen Gu defends China’s internet freedom. Her message is censored. PC restarts ( reboot) only in PUBG. I tried everything. I just found myself actually preparing for the war that may or may not happen in the foreseen future Another proof of Nishant Jindal being a Right Winger Bhakt Do you shame/hate mod users in multiplayer? Convoy Megathread #54 Parking in parent and child spots how to stop a person who is addicted to spend money? Raising the steaks: First 3-D-printed rib-eye is unveiled If bungies explainantion for removing heart of the pack was that it would be active all the time, what's up with Child of The Old Gods giving you basically 100% uptime on your rift and itself. How is a stat buff too strong but constant healing and debuffing isn't? Ronaldo spits on Elanga powerstrips...ffs powerstrips...ffs INTP women: what's your love life like?