From the Atlanta Journal Constitution
If you’re looking for a bellwether tonight, keep your eye on Cobb County, the most Republican portion of the Sixth District. One of our number-crunching friends tells that these returns are the ones to watch.
One month ago, the runoff was held for state Senate District 32. Most of that state legislative district and the Cobb County portion of the Sixth overlap.
Republican Kay Kirkpatrick, a physician with strong ties to former congressman Tom Price, beat Democrat Christine Triebsch, a Marietta lawyer. (The seat had formerly been held by Republican Judson Hill.)
In that runoff, Kirkpatrick pulled 58 percent of the vote to Triebsch’s 42 percent. The latter was woefully underfunded.
Our number-crunching friend tells us that Ossoff doesn’t have to win Cobb to pull out a victory tonight. But he does have to do better than Triebsch. By his calculation, if you see Ossoff pulling 45 percent or better in Cobb – he’ll win.
If he’s pulling only 43 percent – Ossoff could still win, but it’ll be much closer.
If Handel keeps Ossoff under 43 percent in Cobb, then the night is probably hers