I will try to do my first official analyze for this sub..
Lets start with the teams:
Na'vi: Na'vi is a team that constantly suprises with mixed results and are able to eather lose or win really really hard.
One of the matches I remember as a classic Na'vi "throw" is when they won CT 13-2 vs HR (before s1mple joined) and manage to lose the match 16-14, after that I've been very afraid to bet on them.
Lately noone except GuradiaN has been on point and during the nuke math vs Titan the entire team had like 1-4 kills at a point on the T side except guardian that had between 12-15 and kinda was the only hope that na'vi had on winning enough rounds to be able to compete with enough rounds.
But Dust 2 is a map they all know(they dont know nuke) and we probably will see a greater team effort this time and if Guardian even is 80% as good as he was on nuke I highly doubt that pasha will be able to out-awp him.
The main issue on dust 2 for na'vi is that they play their T-side so slow that the time runs out way to often and they are forced to kinda do a yolo push to get a plant, it often happens on short so the buff on A site really helps na'vi in this situation.
Another problem is that they dont protect themself agianst ddos attacks for some reason wich is kinda awkward since they often loses momentum after the attacks.
VP: A team we bearly see on dust 2 at all since they veto it whenever they can, they have some strats as T but nothing to fancy and nothing that will suprise na'vi, it will all come down to outaiming the na'vi players and get the entryfrags.
Another huge problem is that they are so inconsistent, they slaugther top 3 teams one day and the day efter they lose vs a tier 2 team, you'll never know how they are going to perform(but count on them being much better day 2 in tournaments tho).
The guy that will make a world of difference in this team is byali, if he is on point with the entrys I can na'vi having a big problem with their late T strats.
Also I would like to see pasha playing passive and not trying to out-awp guardian since I think guardian will have the advantage on dust 2.
The odds on this map according to me should be around 65/35 Na'vi>VP.
Hard to predict rounds but i can see this being a 16-12 since i believe that VP will win both pistolrounds(TaZ really knows how to play those pistols).
I'm sorry for my bad grammar but I hope you'll understand anyways. :)
//hax