Interesting POV, I think the truth is somewhere in the middle. Where Dugin is somewhat capable in a very small area but his work is fluffed out with all his freakish visions of an Eurasian empire… I read his work. It’s like putting enough truth into your waffle to give the idea they’re connected. Where as any political analysts worth a dime would have come up with a similar plan with the same circumstance.

All these great minds would have developed a metric to categorise the risk and benefits of any action against or with a neighbouring country. Some things like allying with Iran was obviously going to happen given the history between USA/IRN.

However I suspect Dugin had his own objectives doing what he did and may have rattled the wrong cage. I mean by taking the above truth in the waffle, long term plan is he incorporates it into his work. Starts his own political group, Putin completes objectives as he outlined, credibility is given to his work, more people join his political party and Dugin rises to power. Killing his daughter was a message to quiet down and behave.