One of the dumbest responses yet: Top Arizona health officials say Coronavirus probably only kills .04% of patients, because 'it's safe to assume only 1 in 50 infected people report themselves, like with the flu.' Therefore, the don't plan on closing schools or treating it differently than influenza

Point gotten.

The mortality rate that the national health commission of china, the article, you and me are referring to is CFR. (x/diagnosed patient) Or rather, in your example, x/hypothesized population with the flu. "Mortality rate" by definition is the total number of deaths from a particular cause in a given time period divided by the number of people alive within the population.

The problem with the article then becomes the assumption that only 1 of 50 flu cases have been diagnosed. At worst, 20% of population is down with the flu each season, that is 66m. On the webpage 16m had medical visits (14-21m flu medical visits on another source.) Unless 14m are somehow turned away for being asymptomatic and unrecorded, "We probably find out about only 1 case out of 50." has no basis. Going by the stats on the hyperlink, 34k/16.5m is about 0.2% of diagnosed patients. 16.5m to undiagnosed 66m isn't anyway near 50 times.

This completely disregards countless other factors.

/r/China_Flu Thread Parent Link - azcentral.com