For every 1 UDFA that makes the HOF, there’s probably hundreds that never did or never made a pro bowl at the very least. So to an extent these “experts” are indeed right about those player’s inability to succeed in the NFL.

But that being said, the draft isn’t about being right. It’s about risk to reward. Using past information like the so called player’s skillsets, the measurables and college production, how can we best forecast how successful these players be in the pro level and whether the pick number was worth the upside?

Sure there are going to a lot of outliers outside of these databases in which these players will either bust or exceed beyond expectations. For us Giants fans, was the pick of Daniel Jones worth the risk to reward? Like if we picked a player like Josh Allen who has the college production, the measurables and skillsets that past players also had and also succeeded greatly in the NFL more often than not, was that worth the 6th pick overall over a player who has the measurables, but not necessarily the college production or skillsets like in Daniel Jones?

The draft analysis and process is not entirely useless as you’re making it out to be. It’s just predictions in the end but it’s beneficial because it uses past information to predict future results.