7-9-1 -11.7u overall

Yesterday: 0-2 (-4.8u) yikes

Today's Picks

Tigers @ Royals Under 9 Runs (-120) 1.8u to win 1.5u

• Fulmer has a 2.25 ERA on the road this season and has only allowed more than 3 runs in twice in his last 10 starts overall
• Duffy has a 2.41 home ERA and has only allowed more than 2 runs in 2 of his last 8 starts overall
• on the road, Detroit ranks 22nd in runs and batting average, 19th in OBP, and 25th in home runs
• for overall offense, the Royals are 27th in runs scored, 21st in average, 29th in OBP (similar rankings for home performance)

Blue Jays @ Red Sox ML (-120) 2.4u to win 2.0u Blue Jays @ Red Sox F5 line isn’t up

• Jays have had a tough year against the Sox this year (and overall) and are 9-15 in their last 24 (21-25 on the road)
• Red Sox are 27-18 at home this season and hit lefties well (albeit a smaller sample size than the rest of the league)
• Liriano has a 8.33 (!!!!!) road ERA this season and Fister has to be thrilled to finally have another home start
• as you can see, this is more of a fade of Liriano than anything. I really don’t have anything to back up Fister so I went to his Wikipedia page to find something. Apparently he runs 10 miles on each day that he doesn’t pitch, so there ya go. He’s in good shape.

Yankees @ Mariners Mariners ML or Under, lines aren’t out

• the Yankees are still playing bad baseball and are traveling for the 3rd time since the all star break (9th game in 8 days)
• King Felix has been much better at home this season (3-1 3.82 ERA) and the Mariners are a better home team overall as well
• Mariners are finally returning home after going 5-1 on their road trip to open up the 2nd half
• i’ll have the pick sometime tomorrow

BOL for all in this sub, especially those that tail