I could be wrong, but it really seems to me like China and Russia are about 1 to 2 decades behind pulling off anything on the order of what SpaceX is doing today.

To match SpaceX, they'll need an innovative, free, highly motivated, and at least decently paid team of young, well trained aerospace, mechanical, and chemical engineers, along with a second dash of a similar team of advanced computer programmers (which, that second part they might have!).

To make matters worse, SpaceX is about to make it's own spectacular achievements obsolete, probably within about 5 years, when they take it to the next level with their Mars and lunar rocket, aka: Starship.

So unless China or Russia directly steals all the secrets and plans, they're not catching up to SpaceX anytime in the next 2 decades.

This means that in the 2020's to mid 2030's at least, the USA is going to absolutely DOMINATE and OBLITERATE the competition, in terms of launching huge numbers of satellites, probes, rovers, and humans back to the moon and onward to Mars.