Yep. Very True. Had an extra comma out for over a year now with a target entry of 3600. Never got there (yet). Knew I could see the top for obvious reasons this time but the bottom is nearly impossible to gauge. I still think 3100-3200 is possible but gonna bite the bullet and start deploying 5-10% maybe as soon as tomorrow if we get another big down day. Picking a bottom very hard. So damn close too before it bounced so accepted reality.

To OP- if you’re 18 and will be investing for a lifetime it doesn’t really matter much, splitting hairs. Try and DCA. I wouldn’t wait too long. I think one way or another we will have a Santa clause rally as the market looks to the second half of 2023. But then again who knows.