I think his plan makes some sense. I don't think it's the best course of action for Littlefinger, but then again in the show Littlefinger has taken plenty of unnecessary risks (telling Cersei he knows about her incest while alone with her and her guards being a particular standout).
Why is he acting now?
Why marry Sansa to Ramsay Bolton?
Why not send Sansa to Stannis?
Why tell Cersei?