Everyone talks about regression because it makes them sound like a smart stat person that understands averages but it’s usually kind of a dumb take.

The thing is, Allen is a much better player than he was the first 2 years. So an average of all these years isn’t the player he is currently (what he’d regress to). He’s simply a better player and what he did last year could very well be his new average level and therefor regression makes no sense in terms of a major downturn.

Regression is only really a thing with stable factors or something like a team stat where we know something isn’t sustainable based on the fact that the salary cap will regress them closer to an average team.