NEW MRP MODEL Seat forecast Labour 482 (+280) Conservative 69 (-296) SNP 55 (+7) LD 21 (+10) Plaid Cymru 4 (=) Green 1 (=) Labour majority of 314 All change from GE 2019 results

I’d love to explore an alternate history setting where the whole pivot to neoliberal economics never happened and the post-war consensus stays more or less intact. The misery of the 1970s probably drags on longer because there’s no mass council housing sell off and no mass privatisations to inject cash into the economy on a short-term but at the time very effective looking way, but on the other hand we’d have a lot more social housing and probably wouldn’t have put our manufacturing industries and other strategic assets in a bag and thrown them in the river which would be great right about now with globalisation looking less like an inevitable force of nature and more like an embarrassing long term policy error.

One nation conservatism is a bit too paternalistic for my taste but it’s a perfectly respectable ideology and a damn sight better than the ‘sell literally everything that’s not nailed down to foreign hedge funds regardless of the long term consequences because all that matters is short term money’.

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