my argument that there’s so many paradoxes that eventually can be added up to more than 50% odds

Probabilities don't add that way. You have to know how to exclude double counting, which a lot of your arguments do.

Example: if 90% of the things that would cause the Fermi Paradox to be resolved by the creator are the same 90% of things that cause other things like the simulation concept, to be "resolved by a creator", then the total probability of one or the other being the case is more like 12%, not 20%.

Put another way: Obviously, simulation is a subset of "an intelligent creator fixed the Fermi problem", so you can't count those twice.