Last year was extremely disappointing...
First we're going to have to wipe out every indie in there, as this topic is about mainstream games, and we all know what games sell huge numbers and are AAA and what ones don't.
Also most of your potential 2018 have no chance of coming in 2018 and you know that.
No I'm fully aware of the expected release dates of your potential list and those announced but not targeted with a date yet games. My issue is that there aren't many mainstream games coming out in 2018.
From your list the 2018 mainstream games would be:
Honestly at least one of those won't have mainstream sales.
Metro Exodus will sell well but it's always been underappreciated in sales so it may not reach high popularity AAA sales any time soon, the inclusion of more open world features may impact it too.
That's an incredibly bare list you've given, granted a few other games than you mentioned are coming out in 2018. Probably Last of Us 2 so that's one action adventure walking simulator and Detroit which is just a walking simulator and its popularity will be indeterminate.