At risk of being downvoted into oblivion, I'll just share my personal reasons for believing in the supernatural. Don't hurt me please.
I'll be the first to agree that divine revelation is the explanation of lowest likelyhood - by definition, any divine revelation would be something intervening and disrupting the "natural" course of events as expected. They wouldn't be miracles otherwise. So of course when using reason, the scientific method, logic, etc, divine revelation would not be expected. The fact that it breaks those rules is why it matters.
Also, I actually think most westernized believers in the divine would probably agree with you. Think about it; I'm sure if their next door neighbor claimed to have heard from God, they would dismiss it with one of the very reasons you list. There are literally uncountable claims around the world of people claiming to hear from God/deity/the supernatural, etc, and depending on what belief system you are in, any given person would likely reject the every last ones that don't conform to their worldview.
The point is, God by Christian accounts is in the habit of intervening with the explanation of lowest likelyhood.