Our numbers range from thousands to hundreds of deaths weekly, tho that doesn’t include people who were infected previously and are now having strokes and heart attacks due to vascular damage, etc which I suspect is about double.

Most testing in the US has either stopped or is at home and not reported, so we really don’t have great data anymore other than for deaths in people who may get tested upon admission. I’ve feared since the beginning the real deaths would be due to organ damage months or years after initial infection and sadly I think that’s exactly the path we are on based on the latest studies.

Overall, for the US at least, the best guesstimate is just looking at our excess death rate vs the pre-pandemic years. We will slowly see it start to creep up over the next few years. Right now we are maintaining and need about another year’s worth of data to get a clearer picture of what that will look like, but early trends are definitely showing a clear uptick. Pre-pandemic we lost just under 1m people a year to heart attack and stroke. My projection is that we’ll see at least a 25% uptick in that in the next 2-4 years and it roughly doubling in under 10.