US Election 2016: Sanders wins in Washington and Alaska

I am feel the burn as much as anyone on reddit, but the numbers just don't look good for Bernie. Per the Guardian Delegate tracker here are the current delegate pledges for the DNC as of 27/03/2016

To get the nomination a candidate must obtain 2383 delegates.

The current candidates have:

  • Bernie 976 total (incl. 29 super delegates) = 1407 needed to win
  • Hillary 1697 total (incl. 469 super delegates) = 686 needed to win.

Here are the remaining states left:

  • Wisconsin (86)
  • Wyoming (14)
  • New York (247)
  • Connecticut (55)
  • Delaware (21)
  • Maryland (95)
  • Pennsylvania (189)
  • Rhode Island (24)
  • Indiana (83)
  • Guam (7)
  • West Virginia (29)
  • Kentucky (55)
  • Oregon (61)
  • Virgin Islands (7)
  • Puerto Rico (60)
  • California (475)
  • Montana (21)
  • New Jersey (126)
  • New Mexico (34)
  • North Dakota (18)
  • South Dakota (20)
  • DC (20)

Total delegates from state (caucus/ primaries)= 1689

There are 715 super delegates in the Democratic Party: 469 have pledged for Hillary, 29 for Bernie and 1 for Martin O'Mally. This leaves 216 super delegated undecided.

Now, by my calculations, there are 1905 (1689+216) delegate votes remaining.

As we know that a member needs 2383 delegates to receive the party nomination, therefore, Hillary requires an average of 36% (686/1905) from here on out and she will receive the nomination.

Mr Sanders must obtain 74% (1407/1905) of the votes from here on out.

It's not mathematically impossible, but as I said at the beginning, it ain't looking good for Bernie. Though, if Washington and Alaska are anything to go by, it could be an interesting

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