I'm honestly baffled you can't get this through your head, you're completely missing the point. How can you account for the other 11 players? You don't know who they are, you only know you're not a thrower.

You know there are 12 variables (players) one of those players is you and you know you're not a thrower. There are 11 unknown variables (possible throwers) 5 on your team, 6 on theirs. So they have a higher chance of having a thrower. It's that simple.

your model also proposes another huge problem, which nobody seems to realize. in your model (more like some idiot youtubers) you cannot EVER be the weak/thrower/DC player.

Again, you're talking giberish, can you try again in English?

Why would you be throwing? If you're playing properly and trying to climb you won't ever be the thrower.

Unless you're talking about accidentally disconnecting ect? In which case that accidental disconnection is a variable for every player and not just you, so again it averages out and has not over all effect providing you play enough games.