KC runs the ball on the latter half of the league, as a philosophy, much less than their peers.

In back-to-back Chiefs playoff losses in the past decade, Reid ran a healthy Charles a COMBINED 11 times. It's just not one of Andy's interests, which is deeply fascinating (i.e. "if we have a QB and passing option, let's pass and look to score over > 'establish the run' cliche") What's fascinating is if he has a point; if you can build a lead in general, run game is less important. If you're in a hole, you're going to have to pass anyways.

I think the watermark for D-Williams is 3TDs. I prefaced my comment saying "if Pat doesn't become the Hulk." If Chiefs score 4+ TDs and he has a great day, he'll get it, but that wasn't OP's question. I'd venture if he had an especially eye-popping day, he might win it regardless if KC wins or loses (and that's when the discussions get real interesting...)